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United States

Fiscal cost, employment gaps, crime statistics, and demographics in United States — analysed using official primary sources from national statistics offices and international organisations.

1. Official institutions

2. Key datasets

3. Demographics

3.1 Current population composition

Population composition (2023 — total population approx. 334 million)
85.7%
14.3%
  • US-born85.7%
  • Foreign-born14.3%
Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2023

3.2 Origin breakdown

Region of origin of the foreign-born population (2023)
22%
30%
27%
10%
  • Mexico22%
  • Other Latin America30%
  • Asia27%
  • Europe10%
  • Sub-Saharan Africa5%
  • Middle East / North Africa4%
  • Canada / other North America2%
Source: Pew Research Center (analysis of Census Bureau 2023 ACS data)

3.3 Immigration waves (1850 – present)

Foreign-born population (1850 → 2023)
01339240026784800401772005356960018501860187018801890190019101920193019601970198019902000202347830000
  • Foreign-born population
Source: US Census Bureau (decennial censuses and ACS)
📊No official data published.

3.4 Age structure

📊No official data published.

3.5 Long-term projection

📊No official data published.

4. Public finances — net cost

−$0.9 trillion (2024–2034 cumulative)
CBO estimate: effect of the 2021–2026 immigration surge on the federal deficit (July 2024)
CBO estimate: effect of the immigration surge on the federal budget (2024–2034 cumulative, federal level only)
Additional tax revenue+1200$bn
Additional mandatory spending (Social Security/programs)-177$bn
Additional debt interest-101$bn
Net effect (deficit reduction)+900$bn
Source: CBO, "Effects of the Immigration Surge on the Federal Budget and the Economy" (July 2024)

4.1 Pension system / contributor-to-pensioner ratio

⚠️ Data not available No official federal statistic breaking down the demographic dependency ratio (pensioners and children relative to working-age population) by nativity (foreign-born/US-born) could be identified during this research. The Social Security Administration publishes reports on immigration’s effect on Social Security finances, but no primary source meeting this page’s bar for an origin-disaggregated dependency indicator was found.

📊No official data published.

5. Labor market

Unemployment rate trend (foreign-born, 2023 → 2024)
0%1%2%4%5%202320244.2%
  • Foreign-born
Source: BLS, "Foreign-Born Workers: Labor Force Characteristics — 2024" (published May 20, 2025)

6. Security / justice

⚠️ Major limitation — no systematic federal cross-tabulation of crime by migration status The majority of crimes in the United States are prosecuted at the state level rather than the federal level, and these jurisdictions do not publish a systematic, aggregated national statistic by migration status. There is therefore no federal criminal statistic systematically cross-tabulated with migration status across all offense types. This is a politically disputed topic in the United States, documented here as a major methodological limitation rather than citing unofficial figures or advocacy-driven estimates.

7. Education

📊No official data published.

8. Housing

📊No official data published.

9. Social cohesion

10. Recent political context

11. Data limitations and biases

⚠️ Limits A strong divergence exists between federal data (DHS/Census) and NGO/think tank estimates of the population in irregular status — the estimation method used should always be specified.

⚠️ Absence of a federal crime/migration-status cross-tabulation As noted in section 6, the United States has no national statistic systematically cross-tabulating state-level crime with migration status. This is a structural limitation of US data that should be flagged explicitly when comparing with European countries (Denmark, Sweden, etc.) that do publish such cross-tabulations.

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